No, I haven't seen everything. I give who I think SHOULD win and who I think WILL win. I will also live blog the Oscars for my own enjoyment come Sunday. Check it out if you want to see my thoughts on how it went down.
Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart”
George Clooney in “Up in the Air”
Colin Firth in “A Single Man”
Morgan Freeman in “Invictus”
Jeremy Renner in “The Hurt Locker”
Who should win: Sam Rockwell in Moon... or Tom Hardy in Bronson. But from here Jeff Bridges.
Who will take the cake: Jeff Bridges with a strong performance.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Matt Damon in “Invictus”
Woody Harrelson in “The Messenger”
Christopher Plummer in “The Last Station”
Stanley Tucci in “The Lovely Bones”
Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds”
Who should win: Christoph Waltz
Who will take the cake: Christoph Waltz, no contest
Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock in “The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren in “The Last Station”
Carey Mulligan in “An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Meryl Streep in “Julie & Julia”
Who should win: No idea... Gabourey Sidibe? Anyone but Streep.
Who will take the cake: Sandra Bullock
Actress in a Supporting Role
Penélope Cruz in “Nine”
Vera Farmiga in “Up in the Air”
Maggie Gyllenhaal in “Crazy Heart”
Anna Kendrick in “Up in the Air”
Mo’Nique in “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Who should win: Mélanie Laurent in Inglourious Basterds... Oh wait... no nomination? Mo'Nique for her stance against Oscar campaigning.
Who will take the cake: Mo'Nique
Animated Feature Film
“Coraline” Henry Selick
“Fantastic Mr. Fox” Wes Anderson
“The Princess and the Frog” John Musker and Ron Clements
“The Secret of Kells” Tomm Moore
“Up” Pete Docter
Who should win: I find Fantastic Mr. Fox to be delightfully off kilter.
Who will take the cake: Up, and it's not undeserving.
Art Direction
“Avatar” Art Direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Kim Sinclair
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” Art Direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; Set Decoration: Caroline Smith
“Nine” Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim
“Sherlock Holmes” Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
“The Young Victoria” Art Direction: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Maggie Gray
Who should win: Avatar
Who will take the cake: Avatar
Cinematography
“Avatar” Mauro Fiore
“Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince” Bruno Delbonnel
“The Hurt Locker” Barry Ackroyd
“Inglourious Basterds” Robert Richardson
“The White Ribbon” Christian Berger
Who should win: “Inglourious Basterds” Robert Richardson
Who will take the cake: “The Hurt Locker” Barry Ackroyd
Costume Design
“Bright Star” Janet Patterson
“Coco before Chanel” Catherine Leterrier
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” Monique Prudhomme
“Nine” Colleen Atwood
“The Young Victoria” Sandy Powell
Who should win: “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” Monique Prudhomme
Who will take the cake: “Coco before Chanel” Catherine Leterrier
Directing
“Avatar” James Cameron
“The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow
“Inglourious Basterds” Quentin Tarantino
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Lee Daniels
“Up in the Air” Jason Reitman
Who should win: “The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow
Who will take the cake: “The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow
Film Editing
“Avatar” Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron
“District 9” Julian Clarke
“The Hurt Locker” Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
“Inglourious Basterds” Sally Menke
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Joe Klotz
Who should win: “The Hurt Locker” Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
Who will take the cake: “The Hurt Locker” Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
Foreign Language Film
“Ajami” Israel
“The Milk of Sorrow (La Teta Asustada)” Peru
“A Prophet (Un Prophète)” France
“The Secret in Their Eyes (El Secreto de Sus Ojos)” Argentina
“The White Ribbon (Das Weisse Band)” Germany
Who should win: A Prophet (thank you, European DVD release). This is a seriously major work of cinema that can stand with some big films.
Who will take the cake: The White Ribbon - A very strong film that has beat A Prophet almost universally. But it is not the superior work (though both are incredibly good).
Makeup
“Il Divo” Aldo Signoretti and Vittorio Sodano
“Star Trek” Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow
“The Young Victoria” Jon Henry Gordon and Jenny Shircore
Who should win: “Star Trek” Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow
Who will take the cake: “Star Trek” Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow
Music (Original Score)
“Avatar” James Horner
“Fantastic Mr. Fox” Alexandre Desplat
“The Hurt Locker” Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders
“Sherlock Holmes” Hans Zimmer
“Up” Michael Giacchino
Who should win: “Up” Michael Giacchino
Who will take the cake: “Up” Michael Giacchino (why is Avatar nominated here? truly awful score)
Music (Original Song)
“Almost There” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
“Loin de Paname” from “Paris 36” Music by Reinhardt Wagner Lyric by Frank Thomas
“Take It All” from “Nine” Music and Lyric by Maury Yeston
“The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
Who should win: “The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
Who will take the cake: “The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from “Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
Sound Editing
“Avatar” Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
“The Hurt Locker” Paul N.J. Ottosson
“Inglourious Basterds” Wylie Stateman
“Star Trek” Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin
“Up” Michael Silvers and Tom Myers
Who should win: “Star Trek” Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin
Who will take the cake: “Avatar” Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle
Sound Mixing
“Avatar” Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson
“The Hurt Locker” Paul N.J. Ottosson and Ray Beckett
“Inglourious Basterds” Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti and Mark Ulano
“Star Trek” Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson and Peter J. Devlin
“Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen” Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers and Geoffrey Patterson
Who should win: “The Hurt Locker” Paul N.J. Ottosson and Ray Beckett
Who will take the cake: “Avatar” Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson
Visual Effects
“Avatar” Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R. Jones
“District 9” Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken
“Star Trek” Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton
Who should win: District 9
Who will take the cake: Avatar, can't fault this win. But I find Christopher Johnson from D9 to be an amazing work.
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“District 9” Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
“An Education” Screenplay by Nick Hornby
“In the Loop” Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher
“Up in the Air” Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner
Who should win: In the Loop, no question. Absolutely fantastic writing.
Who will take the cake: Up in the Air
Writing (Original Screenplay)
“The Hurt Locker” Written by Mark Boal
“Inglourious Basterds” Written by Quentin Tarantino
“The Messenger” Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
“A Serious Man” Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
“Up” Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy
Who should win: Inglourious Basterds - Tarantino killing it... who TRULY comes close? No one.
Who will take the cake: The Hurt Locker... I think.
Best Picture
“Avatar” James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers
“The Blind Side” Gil Netter, Andrew A. Kosove and Broderick Johnson, Producers
“District 9” Peter Jackson and Carolynne Cunningham, Producers
“An Education” Finola Dwyer and Amanda Posey, Producers
“The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow, Mark Boal, Nicolas Chartier and Greg Shapiro, Producers
“Inglourious Basterds” Lawrence Bender, Producer
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” Lee Daniels, Sarah Siegel-Magness and Gary Magness, Producers
“A Serious Man” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, Producers
“Up” Jonas Rivera, Producer
“Up in the Air” Daniel Dubiecki, Ivan Reitman and Jason Reitman, Producers
Short Film (Animated)
“French Roast” Fabrice O. Joubert
“Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty” Nicky Phelan and Darragh O’Connell
“The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)” Javier Recio Gracia
“Logorama” Nicolas Schmerkin
“A Matter of Loaf and Death” Nick Park
Who should win: Inglourious Basterds - but probably isn't even in the top few of votes.
Who will take the cake: The Hurt Locker. Also, Avatar could take it. Both have run a nasty campaign. The Hurt Locker has much more merit, though.
Whichever of the two wins... it will be one of those things where in 5, maybe 10 years, everyone is like WTF... why did that win Best Picture. Slumdog was one of those last year. 1994 also strikes me as one of those years (off the top of my head)... in what world is Forrest Gump better than Pulp Fiction and the Shawshank Redemption?
In another story of the dirty campaigning this season... Weinstein's have supposedly been torpedoing Hurt Locker, but not building up or pushing their own very worthy film... Basterds. Blows my mind.
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